Cube Handling

Forum Archive : Cube Handling

 
Value of an ace-point game

From:   Øystein Johansen
Address:   ojohans@statoil.com
Date:   29 August 2000
Subject:   Re: What is the value of a deep anchor game?
Forum:   rec.games.backgammon
Google:   39AB9D3F.A265231A@statoil.com

> Suppose you are trying to evaluate whether to take for money, and one
> of the threats is to be locked into an ace-point game. How much is an
> ace-point game worth, assuming strong play by both sides?

Hi,
Over the board, I often put confidence into 'Liby's Rule': In a well
timed acepoint game, the player have 17% chance of winning.

This is a nice rule of thumb, even though I don't know how he derived
it, nor which assumptions he used.

For later acepoint game positions, check out Bob Wachtel's book: "In the
Game Until the End: Winning in Ace-Point Endgames."
This book is more like a derivation of best strategies for later
acepoint games, when the player have only 3 or 4 remaining checkers to
bear off. Each position is concluded with a best strategy stay or run of
backgammon.

-Øystein
 
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