Match Equities

Forum Archive : Match Equities

Neil's new numbers

From:   neilkaz
Date:   23 August 2011
Subject:   Accuracy of Neils numbers in relation to Kazaross XG2 MET
Forum: Forums

Neil's Numbers was created over 15 years ago to best match the Woolsey
Match Equity Table so it isn't quite accurate to the new rolled out METs,
especially for short matches.

I suggest using Neil's New Numbers (NNN).  Just memorize a 4 pt match since
the old NN only had 1 relevent score (although -4-2 worked).

Don't round the halves. (Note that I never suggested to do that.)

Neil's New Numbers for 5 is 7.5 rather than 8.  Nothing else is changed
until we get far into the MET.  NNN for 11 is still 5 and NNN for 13 is
still 4.5.  However, NNN for 16 is 4 (NN for 15 was 4). NNN for 20 is 3.5
(NN for 19 was 3.5) If you go all the way to 25 I guess NNN should be 3.1
(NN was 3)

As before when you get close to 90% you have to start adjusting downward
(more so when clearly above 90%).

  3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20
         7.5          6           5      4.5          4              3.5

The numbers on top represent the number of points the trailer has to go.
The numbers on bottom represent what each point the leader is leading is
worth over 50%.
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Match Equities

Constructing a match equity table  (Walter Trice, Apr 2000) 
Does it matter which match equity table you use?  (Klaus Evers+, Nov 2005)  [GammOnLine forum]
Does it matter which match equity table you use?  (Achim Mueller+, Dec 2003) 
Does it matter which match equity table you use?  (Chuck Bower+, Sept 2001)  [GammOnLine forum] [Long message]
ME Table: Big Brother  (Peter Fankhauser, July 1996) 
ME Table: Dunstan  (Ian Dunstan+, Aug 2004)  [GammOnLine forum]
ME Table: Escoffery  (David Escoffery, Nov 1991) 
ME Table: Friedman  (Elliott C Winslow, Oct 1991) 
ME Table: Kazaross  (Neil Kazaross, Dec 2003)  [GammOnLine forum]
ME Table: Kazaross-XG2  (neilkaz, Aug 2011) 
ME Table: Rockwell-Kazaross  (Chuck Bower+, June 2010) 
ME Table: Snowie  (Chase, Apr 2002) 
ME Table: Snowie  (Harald Retter, Aug 1998) 
ME Table: Woolsey  (Raccoon, Apr 2006) 
ME Table: Woolsey  (Kit Woolsey, May 1994) 
ME Table: Woolsey  (William R. Tallmadge, Jan 1994) 
ME Table: Zadeh  (Jørn Thyssen, Mar 2004)  [GammOnLine forum]
ME Table: Zorba  (Robert-Jan Veldhuizen+, Dec 2003) 
ME at 1-away/2-away (crawford)  (Fabrice Liardet+, Nov 2007)  [GammOnLine forum]
ME at 1-away/2-away (crawford)  (Ian Shaw+, Apr 2003)  [GammOnLine forum]
Match equities--an alternate view  (Durf Freund, Oct 1994) 
Neil's new numbers  (neilkaz, Aug 2011) 
Neil's numbers  (Kit Woolsey+, Oct 1994) 
On calculating match equity tables  (Neil Kazaross, July 2004)  [GammOnLine forum]
Turner formula  (Gregg Cattanach, Feb 2003) 
Turner formula  (Stephen Turner, June 1994) 
Using a match equity table  (Michael J. Zehr, June 1992) 
Value of free drop  (Neil Kazaross, Oct 2002)  [GammOnLine forum]
Which match equity table is best?  (Martin Krainer+, Oct 2003) 
Which match equity table is best?  (Ian Shaw+, Dec 2001) 
Why use a match equity table?  (Kit Woolsey, Feb 1999) 
Worth memorizing?  (Alef Rosenbaum+, Feb 2003) 

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