Position 32, page 53
From Better Backgammon, by Tim Holland

White to play 3-2.

The correct play is to enter on Black’s 3 point and move one man from White’s bar point to White’s 5 point. There is almost no chance for you to win this game in a race. Your only hope is that while bearing off, Black will be forced to leave a blot, which you hit. The point to hold, therefore is Black’s 1 point. From there you will be a threat as long as you wish to remain. If, on the other hand, you make Black’s 3 point, you chances of getting a shot will be far less (assuming that Black will be able to make his 1 point).

One more important factor to be taken into consideration is that by making your 5 point your home board position has become rather formidable, thus causing Black to think twice before making a frivolous play such as hitting your blot on his 3 point and leaving a blot of his own. Actually, the odds are 5 to 4 against Black’s making his 3 point (any roll with a 6 or 5 — 20 chances out of 36). If you had made Black’s 3 point, the chances of his making the 1 point are much better. Also if he is forced to hit your blot on his 1 point, and in the process of doing so leaves a blot of his own (this would happen only with a roll of 6 and 2), there is still the fact that your board leaves much to be desired.

bar/22, 7/5
XG logo
Tom Keith 2013 
Money play
White owns 2-cube
White rolls 3-2

1296 games with VR
Checker play: 3-ply
Cube play: XG Roller

3-2: Game BG   Equity
1 bar/22, 7/5 W
−0.6247 x  *
2 bar/22, 13/11 W
−0.6678 (0.0431) 

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No. 33, page 55

List of Positions from Better Backgammon

Better Backgammon (1974), by Tim Holland

Backgammon Galore : Books