Position 51, page 81
From Backgammon, the Cruelest Game, by Barclay Cooke and Jon Bradshaw

White to play 4-3.

White is going all out for a double game. Black is a 5 to 4 favorite to come in. White gains virtually nothing by bearing off two men in this position. He should take a man off the 4 point and move the odd man on the 4 point down to the 1 point. It is safer, and it will still take him the same number of rolls to bear off all his men. (We are assuming, of course, that no doubles will be thrown.)

Only double 3’s, double 4’s double 5’s, and double 6’s hurt him; even if he rolls them, he will have nine men off and consequently will still be a favorite to win if black hits his blot. Of these doubles, incidentally, double 3’s are the worst, since, if white plays them correctly — that is, as safely as possible — he can bear only two men off.

Not: 4/off, 3/off
4/off, 4/1  *
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Tom Keith 2013 
Money play
Black owns 2-cube
White rolls 4-3

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Checker play: 3-ply
Cube play: XG Roller

4-3: Game BG   Equity
1 4/1, 4/off W
+1.4297 x  *
2 4/off, 3/off W
+1.3135 (0.1162)  Not

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List of Positions from Backgammon, the Cruelest Game

Backgammon, the Cruelest Game (1974), by Barclay Cooke and Jon Bradshaw

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