M.E. Chart for unequal matches

The match equity charts I have presented so far all assume that playing skills of both players are the same. That is why at any even score, match equity is always 50%.

In reality, strength of both players can't be exactly the same.

When difference in skill level between the two players is not small enough to ignore, the shape of the match equity chart changes, or "skewed", to take that difference into account.

The famous book Can A Fish Taste Twice As Good? written by Jake Jacobs and Walter Trice (and I call it "the Fish book" for short) introduced match equity tables that change according to rating points differences. The rating point system used in the table is the same system as the online backgammon server FIBS uses to rate players' strength of the game.

I borrowed some data from the Fish book to create these match equity charts. (Thanks to Jake Jacobs for permission to use the data in my pages.) The match equity table from which I took data are follows:

Table # Page Rating point difference
T-13 32 0 (even)
T-15 34 100
T-17 36 200
T-19 38 300

Here are how those tables look like in match equity charts. (Note that the chart of T-13 is slightly differnt from the chart of Woolsey's equity table, mainly because in the Fish book 24% the gammon rate is used to derive the tables as oppose to 20% that Woolsey's table assumes.)

Rating
Difference
You are: Match Equity [%]
Opp. is: Table # in the Fish book
-300



T-19
(for fish)
Full size GIF
-200

T-17
(for fish)
Full size GIF
-100 T-15
(for fish)
Full size GIF
0
(even)


T-13
Full size GIF
+100 T-15
(for sharks)
Full size GIF
+200

T-17
(for sharks)
Full size GIF
+300



T-19
(for sharks)
Full size GIF

Created by Sho Sengoku